Tuesday, November 02, 2004

Election Live Update 10 (10 to go)

I'm calling Ohio and Pennsylvania. That gives Bush only 10 to go.

Ohio: Bush up by 92K with 30%
Pennsylvania: Kerry up by 260K with 45%
New Hampshire: Kerry up by 5K with 43% - still too close to call
Michigan: Bush up by 40K with 8%
Minnesota: Kerry up by 30K with 10%
Wisconsin: Bush up by 42K with 22%
New Mexico: Bush up by 12K with 8%
Colorado: Bush up 52K with 7%
Iowa: Bush up by 1K with less than 1%

It must be noted that we really won't know tonight because many absentee ballots have yet to be counted, including 2 million in Florida. However, the heavily Republican military ballots may offset any advantage Kerry might get in the absentees, and at any rate, the absentees will likely follow the same pattern as the state. Besides, Bush could very well end up enough of a lead that even Florida won't matter.

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