New Hampshire: Bush up by 9 (yes, that's 9) with 49% reporting
Michigan: Bush up by 50K with 10%
Minnesota: Kerry up by 40K with 12%
Wisconsin: Bush up by 60K with 16%
Iowa: Kerry up by 11K with 7%
Colorado: Bush up by 60K with 11%
New Mexico: Bush up by 15K with 13%
Nevada: No results yet.
Bush has pulled NH back to a tie; Kerry's now leading in Minnesota and Iowa. In all the rest, Bush still has a very good lead --- and he now only needs one or two of the states above to get over 270.
There have been 0 surprises with all of my non-swing states. So, the original projection holds, plus Florida and Ohio for Bush, and plus Pennsylvania for Kerry:
Projection: BUSH 260 ; KERRY 207
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