At 7:30 last night, there was breaking news that Ohio's Court had ruled that the Republicans could indeed station people at the polls to check for faulty ID's. Kudos to the Court for following what's written in their state's constituion. This is a major break for Bush, especially with him barely up in the latest polls in Ohio.
By comparing several electoral maps/polls/projections, it appears that 38 of the 50 states are already decided, unless something incredibly drastic happens. From those 38, Bush has 213 electoral votes and Kerry has 186. 270 is needed to win.
The countdown begins. Bush only needs 57 votes out of 139 that are up for grabs. The three biggest states are Florida (27), Pennsylvanis (21), and Florida (20). All three are in the eastern time zone, along with New Hampshire, which means the first polls will close at seven (their time), in two hours.
I expect Bush to get Ohio, Kerry to get Pennsylvania, and either one to Florida, but most likely Bush. If Bush gets any one of these three, he'll only need 37 or less of the remaining swing states, and he's barely up in most of the latest polls in Wisconsin (10), Iowa (7), and Michigan (17), which takes care of 34 of the 37 or less. He should also get Colorado (9).
I plan to update periodically as results come in.
Four more years!!
Edmond the Hun
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